The Value and Momentum Trader. Dynamic Stock Selection Models to Beat the Market

Noted technical analyst John Person outlines a comprehensive method to pinpointing today's best trading opportunities The economy and stock market are heavily influenced by seasonal factors. For example, a strong holiday buying season tends to be bullish for retail stocks or rising energy costs hurt airline profitability. Awareness of seasonal trends in both the economy and stock market can put you in a better position to profit from sectors and stocks that are likely to outperform the overall market. And technical tools can then be used to confirm emerging trends and time entries into these stocks and sectors. Mastering the Stock Market provides authoritative insights into a method for trading stocks based on seasonal trends, sector analysis, and market timing. Taking a top-down approach, the book explains how seasonal supply/demand forces impact commodities and different sectors of the stock market. After learning how to identify stock market sectors and commodity ETFs that are ripe for a big move, you'll quickly discover how to use technical analysis to gauge the strength of the sector or commodity and then identify the strongest stocks and ETFs to trade. Along the way, you'll also learn how to use the author's own indicators, Persons Pivots, to identify support/resistance areas and pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Outlines a proven technical approach for trading stocks based on seasonal trends, sector analysis, and market timing Breaks new ground in comparative relative strength, trading volume, breadth indicators, and utilizing pivot analysis in conjunction with options expiration days to identify trading opportunities Written by noted technical analyst John L. Person To successfully trade today's markets you need to use a proven approach and have the discipline to effectively implement it. Mastering the Stock Market has what you need to achieve these goals and capture consistent profits along the way.

Whether you are an investment professional managing billions of dollars or an individual investor with a small nest egg, TrimTabs Investing shows you how to beat the major stock market averages with less risk. This groundbreaking book begins by comparing the stock market to a casino in which the house (public companies and the insiders who run them) buys and sells shares with the players (institutional and individual investors). TrimTabs Investing argues that stock prices are primarily a function of liquidity—the amount of shares available for purchase and the amount of money available to buy them—rather than fundamental value. Finally, it outlines the building blocks of liquidity theory and explains how you can use them to predict the direction of the stock market. “Charles Biderman, a savvy and battle-scarred veteran of the investment wars, has fashioned an intriguing approach to making money in the stock market that adroitly avoids both heavy-breathing speculation and the standard Wall Street practices that enable investors, big and small, to lose money in good markets as well as bad. Aimed at the sophisticated investor (which may or may not be an oxymoron), the book is written in blessedly straightforward prose and is a worthwhile read for anyone with an urge to have a fling at investing.–Alan Abelson Barron’s “Since the days of Joseph and Pharaoh, it has been axiomatic that the size of the grain harvest affects the level of grain prices; but today’s investors have been slow to appreciate the fact that the supply of stock shares significantly determines the level of stock prices. Biderman’s long overdue book outlines the theory and evidence behind ‘Trading Float,’ the actual—and exploitable—power behind major moves in the stock market. –Paul Montgomery CEO and CIO of Montgomery Capital Management “‘Trade as corporate execs do, not as they say.’ Charles Biderman has built an impressive list of hedge fund clients from this essential insight, and this book does a great job explaining exactly how retail investors can incorporate it into their investing.” –Eric Zitzewitz Assistant Professor of Economics, Stanford Graduate School of Business “Charles Biderman is a smart thinker, clear writer—and he offers here some very interesting ideas. This book is for the little guy who enjoys reading about money and economics, even if he doesn’t adopt the strategies offered here; and for the professional or sophisticated investor, who, to a greater or lesser degree, just might.–Andrew Tobias author of The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need

Alongside Laszlo Birinyi's stories from his more than forty years of trading experience, the book provides guidance on critical trading and investment issues, including: What the market will likely do if Spyders are up one percent in pre-trading Whether to buy or sell when a stock reports better that expected earnings and trade up to $5 to $50 The details behind group rotation and market cycles The seasonal factors in investing Indicators, explained: which are indicative and which are descriptive The importance of sentiment and how to track it The book will include chapters and details on technical analysis, the failure of technical analysis efforts, the business of wall street, trading indicators, anecdotal data, and price gaps. The Website associated with the book will also feature data sourcing and video.

Innovative strategic management solutions for today's market Strategic Value Management addresses common problems among business managers and other professionals involved in thinking about developing and managing organizations. In it, author Juan Pablo Stegmann integrates all strategic management and business strategy into an innovative standard that introduces key metrics to strategic management and stock value creation. He argues that most complex business issues can be reduced to the three dimensions of stock value creation-profits, sales growth, and capital-that are linked to three critical strategic management decisions-competition, innovation, and resources. His new approach indicates that every strategy has a clear dollar metric, which can measure its consequences of the strategies in terms of stock value. Competitive and growth strategies are analyzed along with economic, financial, dynamic, and contingent approaches Includes a companion CD-ROM, which contains Stegmann's proven model for strategic management and stock value creation Ethical consequences of strategic decisions are introduced-showing how ethics are linked to long-term stock value creation Explains the roots of the current financial crisis by examining the link between the financial world and strategic management, and proposes possible solutions For any looking to enhance their understanding of this discipline, Strategic Value Management offers a new conceptual model for thinking about business strategy and its link to stock value creation.

There is a seasonal bias to the stock market, and by paying attention to the seasonal market tendencies you can gain an edge in the stock market over the long haul. Seasonality offers a practical approach to investing and trading. What better way to learn how to employ seasonal systems than learning from Jay Kaeppel, a master in the analysis of seasonal trends? Kaeppel walks you through this phenomenon that continues to work consistently, providing you with his ultimate seasonal index to make the calendar work for you. Stock Market Seasonals provides a never-before-seen definitive guide that illustrates how to utilize a combination of four basic seasonal tendencies in order to maximize returns.

The first definitive guide to understanding and profiting from the relationship between the stock market and interest rates It's well established that interest rates significantly impact the stock market. This is the first book that definitively explores the interest rate/stock market relationship and describes a specific system for profiting from the relationship. Timing the Market provides an historically proven system, rooted in fundamental economics, that allows investors and traders to forecast the stock market using data from the interest rate markets-together with supporting market sentiment and cultural indicators-to pinpoint and profit from major turns in the stock market. Deborah Weir (Greenwich, CT) is President of Wealth Strategies, a firm that does marketing for traditional money managers and hedge funds. She is a Chartered Financial Analyst and is the first woman president of the Stamford CFA Society.

How the strategies and tactics of fly fishing can translate to improved trading performance Much like trading, successful fly fishing requires both an understanding of «big picture» conditions and the ability to implement tactical techniques to actually catch the fish. In Fly Fishing the Stock Market, Dr. Stephen Morris compares his method for trading stocks with his favorite past time, fly fishing—providing fresh insights into his successful trading approach. Engaging and accessible, this book skillfully describes how Morris applied this approach to generate an astounding 268% growth in his account in the volatile and confusing, post-financial crisis markets. Morris explains how he uses technical indicators to determine what he calls the «market season» and how he then zeros in on individual stock patterns to make his trades. He also reveals unique tools, such as the Market Timing Monitor and Weather Station, which give him a sense of the market's long-term condition and provides the basis for his trading and risk management strategies. Filled with the authenticity of a real trader figuring out how to uncover profitable trading opportunities A companion Website contains supplementary material that allows you to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book Provides a compelling portrait of how a successful trader thinks about markets, develops a method, and then implements the method in real time The author's spectacular returns are backed by publicly documented records Just like fly fishing, traders must adjust their approach constantly because market conditions constantly change. This book will help you achieve this elusive goal, and capture consistent profits in the process.

The recent financial crisis has highlighted the need for better valuation models and risk management procedures, better understanding of structured products, and has called into question the actions of many financial institutions. It has become commonplace to blame the inadequacy of credit risk models, claiming that the crisis was due to sophisticated and obscure products being traded, but practitioners have for a long time been aware of the dangers and limitations of credit models. It would seem that a lack of understanding of these models is the root cause of their failures but until now little analysis had been published on the subject and, when published, it had gained very limited attention. Credit Models and the Crisis is a succinct but technical analysis of the key aspects of the credit derivatives modeling problems, tracing the development (and flaws) of new quantitative methods for credit derivatives and CDOs up to and through the credit crisis. Responding to the immediate need for clarity in the market and academic research environments, this book follows the development of credit derivatives and CDOs at a technical level, analyzing the impact, strengths and weaknesses of methods ranging from the introduction of the Gaussian Copula model and the related implied correlations to the introduction of arbitrage-free dynamic loss models capable of calibrating all the tranches for all the maturities at the same time. It also illustrates the implied copula, a method that can consistently account for CDOs with different attachment and detachment points but not for different maturities, and explains why the Gaussian Copula model is still used in its base correlation formulation. The book reports both alarming pre-crisis research and market examples, as well as commentary through history, using data up to the end of 2009, making it an important addition to modern derivatives literature. With banks and regulators struggling to fully analyze at a technical level, many of the flaws in modern financial models, it will be indispensable for quantitative practitioners and academics who want to develop stable and functional models in the future.

Building Wealth in the Stock Market provides a complete model for investing successfully and safely in bull and bear markets. Experienced investor and teacher Colin Nicholson shares with readers his very own investment plan – one that has been honed over 40 years and that has seen him consistently beat the market and his target rate of return. Everything in Nicholson's investing method is fully disclosed simply and with a minimum of market jargon. The central idea is how to manage risk in order to grow capital and secure a stream of dividends. The various risks to be managed are explained, along with strategies for managing them. Aspects also covered include: how to improve your decision-making skills, modelled on the way the best investors think what is needed to succeed and why having an investment plan is crucial for success how to select stocks, using charting and fundamental ratios in combination to achieve a margin of safety how to manage your portfolio – when to buy, how to build a position, when to cut losses and when to take profits. The methods are brought to life through case studies based on real investments and the sharing of insights gained from years of experience and research. This book will change the way you think about the stock market forever.

Richard Arms is one of the world’s most respected stock market technicians. His expertise in this field is unparalleled, and now, with Stop and Make Money, he reveals how to profit from short-term price movements in the stock market—whether you’re buying or selling short—by accurately interpreting price/volume information and effectively employing stop orders to enter and exit positions. With this book as your guide, you’ll quickly discover how to anticipate short-term stock market moves and improve your overall trading activities.